BETTING DOCTOR by Hogben M.D., Reed

BETTING DOCTOR
by Hogben M.D., Reed
Order 492913...$29.95
The author is a Canadian physician who bets sports and writes about it well, covering not only football, but baseball and basketball handicapping. His sections on money management; shopping for prices, understanding value and looking for a positive expectation are some of the best you'll find. In addition, he illuminates the point that there may well be a correlation between certain statistics you'll find in a box score (or elsewhere) and team performance, straight up and against the line. He has some interesting things to say about betting the colleges, including evaluating team personnel; defining offenses and defenses; categorizing powerhouse teams and those less powerful by "tiers" and evaluating team "goals" like winning a conference or going for the national title, compared to just having a winning record. Hogben's thoughts about team personnel mismatches and getting down to your final picks before betting are right to the bone. His section on betting pro hoops has value, including applying and updating team depth charts; understanding power ratings; categorizing results (nail-biter, foul-fest, blow-out for example). He discusses power ratings; why "smart teams" cover; the importance of defense; and the viral role offensive rebounding plays in every game. On baseball, he discusses the role of earned run averages; how to rate players offensively; keeping a "performance meter" on strikeout pitchers and watching walks per game. He underlines factors like home field advantage; streaks; injuries; the bullpen. 119 pages, paperbound, 2005.

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